10.6% Below Target

MSC Industrial Direct Co., Inc. (MSM) has a consensus 12-month price target of $132.8, implying 10.6% upside from $120.07. The 29 analysts covering MSM see moderate appreciation potential.

MSM has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 29 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 18 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $132.8 implies 10.6% upside from current levels.

MSM trades at a forward P/E of 27.3191x, representing a moderate valuation. With analysts targeting $132.8 (10.6% implied move), the stock appears reasonably valued with upside.

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $150 for MSM, while the most conservative target is $94. The consensus of $132.8 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $196 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

MSM is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 29 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 10 have Buy ratings, 18 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

The 12-month MSM stock forecast based on 29 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $132.8, with estimates ranging from $94 (bear case) to $150 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $149, with bear/bull scenarios of $94/$196.

Our quantitative valuation model calculates MSM's fair value at $149 (base case), with a bear case of $94 and bull case of $196. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 49/100.

MSM trades at a forward P/E ratio of 27.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 33.6x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Wall Street analysts are optimistic on MSM, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $132.8 price target (10.6% upside). 10 of 29 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

MSM analyst price targets range from $94 to $150, a 42% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $132.8 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $94-$196 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.