LOAR trades 10.5% below Wall Street's consensus target of $86.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes LOAR achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 62.1x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 3 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $86.00, based on estimates from 3 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $77.80, this represents a potential upside of +10.5%. The company has a market capitalization of $7.28B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $75.00 to a high of $98.00, representing a 27% spread in expectations. The median target of $85.50 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 3 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,0 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, LOAR trades at a trailing P/E of 103.7x and forward P/E of 62.1x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +76.3% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $22.01, with bear and bull scenarios of $13.87 and $29.00 respectively. Model confidence stands at 58/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
TDGTransDigm Group Incorporated | $73.2B | $1309.18 | $1569.30 | +19.9% | Buy | 32.7x | 39 |
CWCurtiss-Wright Corporation | $28.3B | $766.54 | $741.00 | -3.3% | Buy | 50.3x | 25 |
DRSLeonardo DRS, Inc. | $12.1B | $45.47 | $53.33 | +17.3% | Buy | 35.2x | 9 |
WWDWoodward, Inc. | $24.1B | $404.84 | $435.00 | +7.4% | Buy | 43.3x | 20 |
KTOSKratos Defense & Security Solutions, Inc. | $9.4B | $50.34 | $107.92 | +114.4% | Buy | 65.8x | 24 |
HXLHexcel Corporation | $7.6B | $100.11 | $90.25 | -9.8% | Hold | 43.5x | 36 |
VSECVSE Corporation | $5.1B | $221.06 | $246.67 | +11.6% | Buy | 50.8x | 11 |
HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc. | $3.6B | $16.44 | $15.75 | -4.2% | Hold | 19.1x | 10 |
BAThe Boeing Company | $182.6B | $231.68 | $281.56 | +21.5% | Buy | — | 54 |
RTXRTX Corporation | $270.5B | $200.85 | $224.33 | +11.7% | Buy | 28.9x | 26 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying LOAR stock.
Loar Holdings Inc. (LOAR) has a consensus 12-month price target of $86, implying 10.5% upside from $77.8. The 3 analysts covering LOAR see moderate appreciation potential.
LOAR has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 3 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 3 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $86 implies 10.5% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 62.091x, LOAR trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $86 (10.5% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $98 for LOAR, while the most conservative target is $75. The consensus of $86 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $29 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
LOAR is lightly followed, with 3 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 3 have Buy ratings, 0 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month LOAR stock forecast based on 3 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $86, with estimates ranging from $75 (bear case) to $98 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $22, with bear/bull scenarios of $14/$29.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates LOAR's fair value at $22 (base case), with a bear case of $14 and bull case of $29. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 58/100.
LOAR trades at a forward P/E ratio of 62.1x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 103.7x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on LOAR, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $86 price target (10.5% upside). 3 of 3 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
LOAR analyst price targets range from $75 to $98, a 27% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $86 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $14-$29 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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