KBDC trades 2.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes KBDC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 8.4x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 4 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 7, 2026, Kayne Anderson BDC, Inc. (KBDC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.00, based on estimates from 4 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $13.63, this represents a potential upside of +2.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $904M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $14.00 to a high of $14.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, KBDC trades at a trailing P/E of 10.2x and forward P/E of 8.4x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +23.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $14.26, with bear and bull scenarios of $8.98 and $18.79 respectively. Model confidence stands at 50/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
ARCCAres Capital Corporation | $13.3B | $18.56 | $19.00 | +2.4% | Buy | 9.7x | 32 |
GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc. | $3.4B | $12.87 | $14.25 | +10.7% | Buy | 9.4x | 12 |
OBDCBlue Owl Capital Corporation | $5.4B | $10.92 | $13.00 | +19.0% | Buy | 8.5x | 13 |
FSCOFS Credit Opportunities Corp. | $999M | $4.94 | — | — | — | — | — |
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $194M | $4.79 | $8.95 | +86.8% | Hold | 5.1x | 12 |
MFICMidCap Financial Investment Corporation | $921M | $9.99 | $11.00 | +10.1% | Hold | 7.2x | 14 |
MAINMain Street Capital Corporation | $4.9B | $52.29 | $56.50 | +8.1% | Hold | 13.7x | 14 |
HTGCHercules Capital, Inc. | $3.0B | $16.05 | $16.50 | +2.8% | Buy | 8.3x | 31 |
SLRCSLR Investment Corp. | $701M | $12.85 | $14.50 | +12.8% | Buy | 9.5x | 15 |
CGBDCarlyle Secured Lending, Inc. | $732M | $10.53 | $12.00 | +14.0% | Hold | 7.7x | 7 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying KBDC stock.
The consensus price target for KBDC is $14, close to the current price of $13.63 (2.7% implied move). Based on 4 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
KBDC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 4 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 2 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $14 implies 2.7% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 8.3717x, KBDC trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $14 implies 2.7% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $14 for KBDC, while the most conservative target is $14. The consensus of $14 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $19 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
KBDC is lightly followed, with 4 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month KBDC stock forecast based on 4 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $14 (bear case) to $14 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $14, with bear/bull scenarios of $9/$19.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates KBDC's fair value at $14 (base case), with a bear case of $9 and bull case of $19. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 50/100.
KBDC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 8.4x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 10.2x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
KBDC appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $14 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
KBDC analyst price targets range from $14 to $14, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $9-$19 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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