GBTG trades 10.2% above Wall Street's consensus target of $8.43.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GBTG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 52.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 8 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Global Business Travel Group, Inc. (GBTG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $8.43, based on estimates from 8 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $9.39, this represents a potential downside of -10.2%. The company has a market capitalization of $4.90B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $7.00 to a high of $9.50, representing a 30% spread in expectations. The median target of $8.60 aligns closely with the consensus average.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 6 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,2 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, GBTG trades at a trailing P/E of 44.7x and forward P/E of 52.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +7.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $6.12, with bear and bull scenarios of $3.85 and $8.06 respectively. Model confidence stands at 44/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
SABRSabre Corporation | $802M | $2.03 | $2.00 | -1.5% | Buy | — | 23 |
TRVGtrivago N.V. | $371M | $5.26 | $3.40 | -35.4% | Hold | 91.6x | 19 |
MMYTMakeMyTrip Limited | $5.6B | $58.70 | $77.00 | +31.2% | Buy | 134.4x | 11 |
TRIPTripadvisor, Inc. | $1.6B | $13.72 | $14.10 | +2.8% | Hold | 10.3x | 56 |
TNLTravel + Leisure Co. | $4.7B | $75.61 | $86.88 | +14.9% | Buy | 10.3x | 15 |
EXPEExpedia Group, Inc. | $31.6B | $269.87 | $270.38 | +0.2% | Hold | 13.7x | 75 |
BKNGBooking Holdings Inc. | $141.0B | $181.95 | $230.65 | +26.8% | Buy | 17.4x | 71 |
ABNBAirbnb, Inc. | $88.3B | $148.80 | $155.13 | +4.3% | Buy | 29.0x | 45 |
NCLHNorwegian Cruise Line Holdings Ltd. | $8.6B | $18.83 | $21.31 | +13.2% | Buy | 11.4x | 37 |
RCLRoyal Caribbean Cruises Ltd. | $76.4B | $282.26 | $345.08 | +22.3% | Buy | 16.3x | 52 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GBTG stock.
GBTG's consensus price target is $8.43, -10.2% below the current price of $9.39. The 8 analysts tracking GBTG see downside risk at present valuations.
GBTG has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 8 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 6 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $8.43 implies -10.2% downside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 52.8716x, GBTG trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $8.43 (-10.2% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $9.5 for GBTG, while the most conservative target is $7. The consensus of $8.43 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $8 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GBTG is moderately covered, with 8 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 6 have Buy ratings, 2 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GBTG stock forecast based on 8 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $8.43, with estimates ranging from $7 (bear case) to $9.5 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $6, with bear/bull scenarios of $4/$8.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GBTG's fair value at $6 (base case), with a bear case of $4 and bull case of $8. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 44/100.
GBTG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 52.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 44.7x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Analysts are cautious on GBTG, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $8.43 (-10.2% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GBTG analyst price targets range from $7 to $9.5, a 30% moderate spread showing some variance in outlooks. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $8.43 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $4-$8 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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