GAIN trades 8.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $17.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes GAIN achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 38.5x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 7 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 8, 2026, Gladstone Investment Corporation (GAIN) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $17.00, based on estimates from 7 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $15.64, this represents a potential upside of +8.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $623M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $17.00 to a high of $17.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $17.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 2 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,5 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, GAIN trades at a trailing P/E of 3.3x and forward P/E of 38.5x. The forward PEG ratio of 1.28 indicates reasonable valuation for growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow -91.7% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $38.49, with bear and bull scenarios of $24.25 and $50.71 respectively. Model confidence stands at 40/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
HTGCHercules Capital, Inc. | $3.0B | $15.99 | $16.50 | +3.2% | Buy | 8.3x | 31 |
ARCCAres Capital Corporation | $13.3B | $18.47 | $19.00 | +2.9% | Buy | 9.6x | 32 |
GBDCGolub Capital BDC, Inc. | $3.3B | $12.75 | $14.25 | +11.8% | Buy | 9.3x | 12 |
TPVGTriplePoint Venture Growth BDC Corp. | $193M | $4.75 | $8.95 | +88.4% | Hold | 5.1x | 12 |
CSWCCapital Southwest Corporation | $1.5B | $23.51 | $23.58 | +0.3% | Buy | 9.9x | 10 |
MRCCMonroe Capital Corporation | $110M | $5.08 | $8.00 | +57.5% | Hold | 14.9x | 11 |
PFLTPennantPark Floating Rate Capital Ltd. | $713M | $7.19 | $9.75 | +35.6% | Buy | 6.7x | 11 |
GLADGladstone Capital Corporation | $437M | $19.36 | $21.00 | +8.5% | Hold | 9.7x | 14 |
GOODGladstone Commercial Corporation | $607M | $12.53 | $14.00 | +11.7% | Buy | 55.3x | 14 |
LANDGladstone Land Corporation | $369M | $8.56 | $13.33 | +55.7% | Buy | — | 11 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying GAIN stock.
The consensus price target for GAIN is $17, close to the current price of $15.64 (8.7% implied move). Based on 7 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.
GAIN has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 7 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 5 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $17 implies 8.7% upside from current levels.
At a forward P/E of 38.5222x, GAIN trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $17 (8.7% upside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $17 for GAIN, while the most conservative target is $17. The consensus of $17 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $51 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
GAIN is moderately covered, with 7 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 2 have Buy ratings, 5 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month GAIN stock forecast based on 7 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $17, with estimates ranging from $17 (bear case) to $17 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $38, with bear/bull scenarios of $24/$51.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates GAIN's fair value at $38 (base case), with a bear case of $24 and bull case of $51. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 40/100.
GAIN trades at a forward P/E ratio of 38.5x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 3.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
GAIN appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Hold" rating and minimal upside to the $17 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
GAIN analyst price targets range from $17 to $17, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $17 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $24-$51 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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