Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Hold
Based on 36 analysts68.7% Below Target
FOSL trades 68.7% below Wall Street's consensus target of $7.00.
Current Price$4.15
Average Target$7.00
Low$7.00
Median$7.00
High$7.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E—
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth-8.1%
(Declining)
Analyst Spread0.0%
(High Agreement)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes FOSL achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of historical averagesx. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 36 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
FOSL Price Target Analysis
Updated July 7, 2026As of July 7, 2026, Fossil Group, Inc. (FOSL) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $7.00, based on estimates from 36 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $4.15, this represents a potential upside of +68.7%. The company has a market capitalization of $245M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $7.00 to a high of $7.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $7.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 9 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,16 rating it Hold, and 11 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, FOSL trades at a trailing P/E of -2.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow -8.1% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+18.2%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
22.7x
(Fair)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
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 MOVMovado Group, Inc. | $862M | $37.77 | $50.00 | +32.4% | Hold | 33.3x | 13 |
 GIIIG-III Apparel Group, Ltd. | $1.4B | $33.60 | $39.33 | +17.1% | Buy | 11.6x | 29 |
 PVHPVH Corp. | $3.5B | $76.83 | $92.00 | +19.7% | Buy | 7.0x | 38 |
 FITBFifth Third Bancorp | $52.5B | $57.89 | $57.50 | -0.7% | Buy | 18.9x | 51 |
 GRMNGarmin Ltd. | $47.3B | $245.22 | $270.67 | +10.4% | Hold | 25.4x | 28 |
 SONOSonos, Inc. | $1.6B | $13.60 | $19.50 | +43.4% | Buy | 34.9x | 9 |
 GOOGLAlphabet Inc. | $4.4T | $366.46 | $412.64 | +12.6% | Buy | 25.7x | 83 |
 AAPLApple Inc. | $4.6T | $312.66 | $327.00 | +4.6% | Buy | 35.7x | 111 |
FOSL — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying FOSL stock.
What is the FOSL stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for FOSL is $7, representing 68.7% upside from the current price of $4.15. With 36 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is FOSL a buy, sell, or hold?
FOSL has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 36 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is leaning bearish, with 11 Sell/Strong Sell ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $7 implies 68.7% upside from current levels.
Is FOSL stock overvalued or undervalued?
FOSL's current price is $4.15 with a consensus target of $7 (68.7% implied move). Analyst estimates suggest the stock is undervalued at current levels.
How high can FOSL stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $7 for FOSL, while the most conservative target is $7. The consensus of $7 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover FOSL stock?
FOSL is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 36 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 9 have Buy ratings, 16 recommend Hold, and 11 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the FOSL stock forecast?
The 12-month FOSL stock forecast based on 36 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $7, with estimates ranging from $7 (bear case) to $7 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold".
Should I buy FOSL stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on FOSL, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $7 price target (68.7% upside). 9 of 36 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do FOSL price targets vary so much?
FOSL analyst price targets range from $7 to $7, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $7 consensus represents the middle ground.
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