Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 33 analysts4.6% Above Target
CVLT trades 4.6% above Wall Street's consensus target of $143.07.
Current Price$149.98
Average Target$143.07
Target
Current
Low$100.00
Median$145.00
High$185.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E35.9x
(Growth Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+156.1%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread59.4%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes CVLT achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 35.9x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 33 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
CVLT Price Target Analysis
Updated July 6, 2026As of July 6, 2026, Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $143.07, based on estimates from 33 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $149.98, this represents a potential downside of -4.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $6.60B.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $100.00 to a high of $185.00, representing a 59% spread in expectations. The median target of $145.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 18 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,15 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The positive sentiment balance indicates moderate optimism about the stock prospects.
From a valuation perspective, CVLT trades at a trailing P/E of 94.9x and forward P/E of 35.9x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +156.1% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $132.06, with bear and bull scenarios of $83.20 and $174.00 respectively. Model confidence stands at 53/100, reflecting moderate uncertainty in projections.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Technology stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+6.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
61.6x
(High Premium)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 VRNSVaronis Systems, Inc. | $5.0B | $42.86 | $36.92 | -13.9% | Buy | 360.5x | 34 |
 QLYSQualys, Inc. | $5.2B | $148.12 | $103.00 | -30.5% | Hold | 19.5x | 48 |
 TENBTenable Holdings, Inc. | $4.3B | $37.90 | $28.81 | -24.0% | Buy | 19.4x | 28 |
 IBMInternational Business Machines Corporation | $271.6B | $289.52 | $314.83 | +8.7% | Buy | 23.3x | 50 |
 NTAPNetApp, Inc. | $30.5B | $154.17 | $167.00 | +8.3% | Hold | 19.3x | 71 |
 PSTGEverpure, Inc | $28.5B | $86.22 | $86.00 | -0.3% | Buy | 37.6x | 32 |
 STXSeagate Technology Holdings plc | $199.6B | $915.19 | $831.00 | -9.2% | Buy | 61.4x | 52 |
 HPEHewlett Packard Enterprise Company | $54.6B | $41.21 | $69.27 | +68.1% | Hold | 12.1x | 39 |
 DELLDell Technologies Inc. | $261.9B | $394.29 | $449.54 | +14.0% | Buy | 39.5x | 45 |
 MSFTMicrosoft Corporation | $2.9T | $390.49 | $551.33 | +41.2% | Buy | 23.2x | 82 |
CVLT — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying CVLT stock.
What is the CVLT stock price target for 2026?
Wall Street's consensus price target for CVLT is $143.07, -4.6% from its current price of $149.98. The below-market target from 33 analysts suggests limited near-term appreciation.
Is CVLT a buy, sell, or hold?
CVLT has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 33 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 18 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $143.07 implies -4.6% downside from current levels.
Is CVLT stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 35.8529x, CVLT trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $143.07 (-4.6% downside) suggests analysts may view current valuations as stretched.
How high can CVLT stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $185 for CVLT, while the most conservative target is $100. The consensus of $143.07 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $174 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover CVLT stock?
CVLT is heavily covered by Wall Street, with 33 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 18 have Buy ratings, 15 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the CVLT stock forecast?
The 12-month CVLT stock forecast based on 33 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $143.07, with estimates ranging from $100 (bear case) to $185 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $132, with bear/bull scenarios of $83/$174.
What is CVLT's fair value based on fundamentals?
Our quantitative valuation model calculates CVLT's fair value at $132 (base case), with a bear case of $83 and bull case of $174. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 53/100.
What is CVLT's forward P/E ratio?
CVLT trades at a forward P/E ratio of 35.9x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 94.9x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy CVLT stock?
Analysts are cautious on CVLT, with 0 Sell ratings and a price target of $143.07 (-4.6% from current price). The "Buy" consensus suggests careful evaluation before buying. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do CVLT price targets vary so much?
CVLT analyst price targets range from $100 to $185, a 59% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $143.07 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $83-$174 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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