Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) Price Target Analysis

Updated Jul 2, 2026

Analyst Rating: Buy

Based on 12 analysts

9.4% Below Target

BLBD trades 9.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $85.25.

Current Price$77.95

Average Target$85.25

Target

Current

Low$75.00

Median$86.00

High$94.00

Analyst Target Range

Forward P/E16.3x

(Fair)

PEG Ratio0.26

(Undervalued)

Implied Growth+17.1%

(Moderate)

Analyst Spread22.3%

(High Agreement)

Price Forecast (1 Year)

Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path

Current$77.95

Consensus$85.25

High$94.00

Low$75.00

Consensus Scenario Assumptions

The base valuation assumes BLBD achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 16.3x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 12 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.

Analyst Ratings Distribution

Breakdown of 12 published analyst recommendations for BLBD

11/12 analysts are bullish

BearishBullish

Weighted analyst sentiment score based on 12 ratings

ConsensusBuy

Coverage12 Analysts

Net Score+46

Bull / Bear92% / 0%

Strong Buy00%

Buy1192%

Hold18%

Sell00%

Strong Sell00%

Strong Buy

00%

Buy

1192%

Hold

18%

Sell

00%

Strong Sell

00%

Recommendation Mix92% Buy · 8% Hold · 0% Sell

Buy (11)Hold (1)Sell (0)

BLBD Price Target Analysis

Updated July 7, 2026

As of July 7, 2026, Blue Bird Corporation (BLBD) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $85.25, based on estimates from 12 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $77.95, this represents a potential upside of +9.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $2.47B.

Analyst price targets range from a low of $75.00 to a high of $94.00, representing a 22% spread in expectations. The median target of $86.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.

The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 11 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.

From a valuation perspective, BLBD trades at a trailing P/E of 20.1x and forward P/E of 16.3x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.26 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +17.1% over the next year.

Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $54.60, with bear and bull scenarios of $34.40 and $71.94 respectively. Model confidence stands at 45/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.

Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Consumer Cyclical stocks.

Analyst Sentiment Comparison

Industry Peer Analysis

Avg Peer Upside

+28.2%

Industry Consensus

Avg Forward P/E

19.4x

(Fair)

Peers with Coverage

9 / 10

Active Analyst Tracking

Company	Market Cap	Price	Target	Upside Potential	Rating	Fwd P/E	Analysts
THOThor Industries, Inc.	$3.9B	$75.73	$95.00	+25.4%	Hold	21.4x	41
WNCWabash National Corporation	$529M	$13.00	$20.00	+53.8%	Hold	—	18
DORMDorman Products, Inc.	$4.2B	$140.07	$140.00	-0.1%	Buy	16.9x	16
PCARPACCAR Inc	$66.3B	$125.91	$128.40	+2.0%	Hold	22.2x	45
CMICummins Inc.	$93.7B	$678.24	$757.91	+11.7%	Buy	23.3x	51
OSKOshkosh Corporation	$68.8B	$144.22	$171.90	+19.2%	Buy	13.2x	37
PLUGPlug Power Inc.	$3.0B	$2.64	$1.85	-29.9%	Buy	—	38
CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.	$162M	$6.26	$6.50	+3.8%	Hold	—	21
BLNKBlink Charging Co.	$75M	$0.63	—	—	—	—	—
EVGOEVgo, Inc.	$615M	$1.96	$5.25	+167.9%	Buy	—	16

BLBD — Frequently Asked Questions

Quick answers to the most common questions about buying BLBD stock.

What is the BLBD stock price target for 2026?

The consensus price target for BLBD is $85.25, close to the current price of $77.95 (9.4% implied move). Based on 12 analyst estimates, the stock appears fairly valued near current levels.

Is BLBD a buy, sell, or hold?

BLBD has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 12 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 11 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $85.25 implies 9.4% upside from current levels.

Is BLBD stock overvalued or undervalued?

With a forward P/E of 16.2929x, BLBD trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $85.25 implies 9.4% appreciation, suggesting the market may be pricing in risks.

How high can BLBD stock go?

The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $94 for BLBD, while the most conservative target is $75. The consensus of $85.25 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $72 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.

How many analysts cover BLBD stock?

BLBD is moderately covered, with 12 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 11 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.

What is the BLBD stock forecast?

The 12-month BLBD stock forecast based on 12 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $85.25, with estimates ranging from $75 (bear case) to $94 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $55, with bear/bull scenarios of $34/$72.

What is BLBD's fair value based on fundamentals?

Our quantitative valuation model calculates BLBD's fair value at $55 (base case), with a bear case of $34 and bull case of $72. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 45/100.

What is BLBD's forward P/E ratio?

BLBD trades at a forward P/E ratio of 16.3x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 20.1x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.

Should I buy BLBD stock?

BLBD appears fairly valued according to analysts, with a "Buy" rating and minimal upside to the $85.25 target. Consider your investment thesis and risk tolerance. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.

Why do BLBD price targets vary so much?

BLBD analyst price targets range from $75 to $94, a 22% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $85.25 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $34-$72 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.

Consensus-Based Analysis Tools