APOG trades 15.6% below Wall Street's consensus target of $46.00.
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
The base valuation assumes APOG achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 11.6x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
As of July 7, 2026, Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $46.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $39.79, this represents a potential upside of +15.6%. The company has a market capitalization of $830M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $46.00 to a high of $46.00, representing a 0% spread in expectations. The median target of $46.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The tight target dispersion indicates high conviction among analysts.
The current analyst consensus rating is Hold, with 1 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,4 rating it Hold, and 1 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. The bearish sentiment suggests caution about the stock at current levels.
From a valuation perspective, APOG trades at a trailing P/E of 15.8x and forward P/E of 11.6x. The forward PEG ratio of 0.34 suggests the stock may be undervalued relative to its growth. Analysts expect EPS to grow +7.2% over the next year.
Our proprietary valuation model, which blends historical multiples with forward estimates, suggests a base-case price target of $56.08, with bear and bull scenarios of $35.33 and $73.90 respectively. Model confidence stands at 48/100, suggesting limited visibility into future performance.
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
AWIArmstrong World Industries, Inc. | $6.8B | $159.60 | $197.50 | +23.7% | Buy | 19.2x | 26 |
AAONAAON, Inc. | $9.0B | $109.35 | $119.00 | +8.8% | Buy | 48.3x | 5 |
JELDJELD-WEN Holding, Inc. | $110M | $1.27 | $1.68 | +32.3% | Hold | — | 27 |
GFFGriffon Corporation | $4.3B | $93.08 | $115.00 | +23.5% | Buy | 17.9x | 7 |
TREXTrex Company, Inc. | $5.0B | $48.30 | $49.25 | +2.0% | Hold | 28.8x | 34 |
NXQuanex Building Products Corporation | $789M | $17.18 | — | — | Hold | 10.4x | 10 |
VMCVulcan Materials Company | $39.6B | $304.84 | $322.10 | +5.7% | Buy | 33.0x | 36 |
MLMMartin Marietta Materials, Inc. | $36.5B | $605.30 | $684.55 | +13.1% | Buy | 31.7x | 40 |
OCOwens Corning | $11.8B | $146.79 | $150.13 | +2.3% | Hold | 15.5x | 43 |
BLDRBuilders FirstSource, Inc. | $9.1B | $82.33 | $106.38 | +29.2% | Buy | 19.3x | 43 |
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying APOG stock.
Apogee Enterprises, Inc. (APOG) has a consensus 12-month price target of $46, implying 15.6% upside from $39.79. The 6 analysts covering APOG see moderate appreciation potential.
APOG has a consensus rating of "Hold" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is mixed, with 4 Hold ratings making up the largest segment. The consensus 12-month price target of $46 implies 15.6% upside from current levels.
With a forward P/E of 11.578x, APOG trades at a relatively low valuation. The consensus target of $46 implies 15.6% appreciation, suggesting meaningful undervaluation.
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $46 for APOG, while the most conservative target is $46. The consensus of $46 represents the median expectation. Our quantitative valuation model projects a bull case target of $74 based on optimistic growth and margin assumptions. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
APOG is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 1 have Buy ratings, 4 recommend Hold, and 1 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
The 12-month APOG stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $46, with estimates ranging from $46 (bear case) to $46 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Hold". Our proprietary valuation model produces a base case fair value of $56, with bear/bull scenarios of $35/$74.
Our quantitative valuation model calculates APOG's fair value at $56 (base case), with a bear case of $35 and bull case of $74. The model uses discounted cash flow analysis, historical growth rates, and margin mean-reversion to project FY+2 earnings, then applies an appropriate P/E multiple. The model confidence score is 48/100.
APOG trades at a forward P/E ratio of 11.6x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 15.8x. The lower forward P/E indicates analysts expect earnings growth. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Wall Street analysts are optimistic on APOG, with a "Hold" consensus rating and $46 price target (15.6% upside). 1 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
APOG analyst price targets range from $46 to $46, a 0% tight range reflecting strong analyst consensus. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $46 consensus represents the middle ground. Our model's $35-$74 range provides an independent fundamental perspective.
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