Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) Price Target Analysis
Updated Jul 2, 2026
Analyst Rating: Buy
Based on 6 analysts128.4% Below Target
AMBC trades 128.4% below Wall Street's consensus target of $14.00.
Current Price$6.13
Average Target$14.00
Target
Current
Low$10.00
Median$14.00
High$18.00
Analyst Target Range
Forward P/E92.0x
(High Premium)
PEG Ratio—
Implied Growth+100.4%
(High Growth)
Analyst Spread57.1%
(Moderate)
Price Forecast (1 Year)
Last 12 months price action with 12-month analyst target path
Consensus Scenario Assumptions
The base valuation assumes AMBC achieves its forward estimates and maintains a stable P/E multiple of 92.0x. This scenario reflects the blended consensus of 6 Wall Street analysts, balancing both positive catalysts and macroeconomic headwinds over the next 12 months.
AMBC Price Target Analysis
Updated July 7, 2026As of July 7, 2026, Ambac Financial Group, Inc. (AMBC) has a Wall Street consensus price target of $14.00, based on estimates from 6 covering analysts. With the stock currently trading at $6.13, this represents a potential upside of +128.4%. The company has a market capitalization of $269M.
Analyst price targets range from a low of $10.00 to a high of $18.00, representing a 57% spread in expectations. The median target of $14.00 aligns closely with the consensus average. The wide target spread reflects significant disagreement on fair value.
The current analyst consensus rating is Buy, with 5 analysts rating the stock as a Buy or Strong Buy,1 rating it Hold, and 0 rating it Sell or Strong Sell. This overwhelmingly bullish sentiment suggests analysts see significant catalysts for upside ahead.
From a valuation perspective, AMBC trades at a trailing P/E of 4.3x and forward P/E of 92.0x. Analysts expect EPS to grow +100.4% over the next year.
Investment Context: Price targets represent analyst expectations for the next 12 months and should be considered alongside your own research. Targets are based on analysts' assumptions about earnings growth, margins, and market conditions which may change. For sector-specific context, view other Financial Services stocks.
Analyst Sentiment Comparison
Industry Peer AnalysisAvg Peer Upside
+21.3%
Industry Consensus
Avg Forward P/E
14.9x
(Value)
Peers with Coverage
10 / 10
Active Analyst Tracking
| Company | Market Cap | Price | Target | Upside Potential | Rating | Fwd P/E | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 MBIMBIA Inc. | $345M | $6.78 | $14.00 | +106.5% | Buy | — | 6 |
 AGOAssured Guaranty Ltd. | $3.7B | $83.63 | $80.00 | -4.3% | Buy | 11.6x | 9 |
 BAMBrookfield Asset Management Ltd. | $77.0B | $47.00 | $58.44 | +24.3% | Buy | 26.5x | 20 |
 RDNRadian Group Inc. | $5.2B | $38.19 | $43.00 | +12.6% | Buy | 7.6x | 22 |
 ESNTEssent Group Ltd. | $5.9B | $64.53 | $66.25 | +2.7% | Buy | 9.0x | 19 |
 MTGMGIC Investment Corporation | $6.0B | $28.21 | $29.00 | +2.8% | Buy | 9.2x | 22 |
 NMIHNMI Holdings, Inc. | $3.1B | $41.38 | $45.33 | +9.5% | Buy | 8.0x | 20 |
 PFSIPennyMac Financial Services, Inc. | $4.4B | $83.75 | $107.00 | +27.8% | Buy | 8.2x | 20 |
 MCOMoody's Corporation | $88.4B | $498.78 | $541.31 | +8.5% | Buy | 29.9x | 32 |
 SPGIS&P Global Inc. | $132.4B | $447.22 | $548.11 | +22.6% | Buy | 24.1x | 28 |
AMBC — Frequently Asked Questions
Quick answers to the most common questions about buying AMBC stock.
What is the AMBC stock price target for 2026?
The consensus Wall Street price target for AMBC is $14, representing 128.4% upside from the current price of $6.13. With 6 analysts covering the stock, this strong upside suggests significant value not yet reflected in today's share price.
Is AMBC a buy, sell, or hold?
AMBC has a consensus rating of "Buy" based on 6 Wall Street analysts. The rating breakdown is predominantly bullish, with 5 Buy/Strong Buy ratings. The consensus 12-month price target of $14 implies 128.4% upside from current levels.
Is AMBC stock overvalued or undervalued?
At a forward P/E of 92.042x, AMBC trades at a premium valuation. The consensus price target of $14 (128.4% upside) suggests analysts still see growth justifying the multiple.
How high can AMBC stock go?
The most bullish Wall Street analyst has a price target of $18 for AMBC, while the most conservative target is $10. The consensus of $14 represents the median expectation. These targets typically reflect 12-month expectations.
How many analysts cover AMBC stock?
AMBC is moderately covered, with 6 analysts providing price targets and ratings. Of these, 0 have Strong Buy ratings, 5 have Buy ratings, 1 recommend Hold, and 0 have Sell or Strong Sell ratings. Higher analyst coverage generally indicates greater institutional interest and more reliable consensus estimates.
What is the AMBC stock forecast?
The 12-month AMBC stock forecast based on 6 Wall Street analysts shows a consensus price target of $14, with estimates ranging from $10 (bear case) to $18 (bull case). The median consensus rating is "Buy".
What is AMBC's forward P/E ratio?
AMBC trades at a forward P/E ratio of 92.0x based on next-twelve-months earnings estimates compared to a trailing P/E of 4.3x. The higher forward P/E suggests near-term earnings pressure. A forward P/E is useful for comparing valuations when earnings are expected to change significantly.
Should I buy AMBC stock?
Wall Street analysts are very optimistic on AMBC, with a "Buy" consensus rating and $14 price target (128.4% upside). 5 of 6 analysts rate it Buy or Strong Buy. This information is for educational purposes only. Always conduct your own research, consider your financial situation, and consult a financial advisor before making investment decisions.
Why do AMBC price targets vary so much?
AMBC analyst price targets range from $10 to $18, a 57% wide spread indicating significant analyst disagreement. Differences stem from varying assumptions about revenue growth, profit margins, competitive dynamics, and valuation multiples. The $14 consensus represents the middle ground.
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