Discount Stores
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COST vs TGT
Revenue, margins, valuation, and 5-year total return — side by side.
Discount Stores
COST vs TGT — Key Financials
Market cap, revenue, margins, and valuation side-by-side.
| Company Snapshot | ||
|---|---|---|
| Industry | Discount Stores | Discount Stores |
| Market Cap | $420.20B | $59.17B |
| Revenue (TTM) | $293.59B | $105.47B |
| Net Income (TTM) | $8.84B | $3.61B |
| Gross Margin | 12.9% | 25.7% |
| Operating Margin | 3.8% | 4.8% |
| Forward P/E | 46.1x | 15.5x |
| Total Debt | $8.17B | $20.29B |
| Cash & Equiv. | $14.16B | $5.49B |
COST vs TGT — Long-Term Stock Performance
Price return indexed to 100 at period start. Dividends excluded.
| Stock | Jul 20 | Jul 26 | Return |
|---|---|---|---|
| Costco Wholesale Co… (COST) | 100 | 291.1 | +191.1% |
| Target Corporation (TGT) | 100 | 103.8 | +3.8% |
Price return only. Dividends and distributions are not included.
Quick Verdict: COST vs TGT
Each card shows where this stock fits in a portfolio — not just who wins on paper.
COST is the clearest fit if your priority is growth exposure and long-term compounding.
- Rev growth 8.2%, EPS growth 10.0%, 3Y rev CAGR 6.6%
- 5.2% 10Y total return vs TGT's 134.6%
- Lower volatility, beta -0.08, Low D/E 28.0%, current ratio 1.03x
TGT carries the broadest edge in this set and is the clearest fit for income & stability.
- Dividend streak 43 yrs, beta 0.54, yield 3.5%
- Lower P/E (15.5x vs 46.1x)
- 3.4% margin vs COST's 3.0%
See the full category breakdown
| Category | Winner | Why |
|---|---|---|
| Growth | 8.2% revenue growth vs TGT's -1.7% | |
| Value | Lower P/E (15.5x vs 46.1x) | |
| Quality / Margins | 3.4% margin vs COST's 3.0% | |
| Stability / Safety | Lower D/E ratio (28.0% vs 125.5%) | |
| Dividends | 3.5% yield, 43-year raise streak, vs COST's 0.5% | |
| Momentum (1Y) | +32.7% vs COST's -4.0% | |
| Efficiency (ROA) | 10.7% ROA vs TGT's 6.1%, ROIC 34.5% vs 12.0% |
COST vs TGT — Revenue Breakdown by Segment
How each company's revenue is distributed across its business units
COST vs TGT — Financial Metrics
Side-by-side numbers across 2 stocks — who leads on profitability, valuation, growth, and risk.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
TGT leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Income & Cash Flow (Last 12 Months)
COST is the larger business by revenue, generating $293.6B annually — 2.8x TGT's $105.5B. Profitability is closely matched — net margins range from 3.4% (TGT) to 3.0% (COST). On growth, COST holds the edge at +11.6% YoY revenue growth, suggesting stronger near-term business momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| RevenueTrailing 12 months | $293.6B | $105.5B |
| EBITDAEarnings before interest/tax | $13.8B | $8.2B |
| Net IncomeAfter-tax profit | $8.8B | $3.6B |
| Free Cash FlowCash after capex | $8.8B | $4.2B |
| Gross MarginGross profit ÷ Revenue | +12.9% | +25.7% |
| Operating MarginEBIT ÷ Revenue | +3.8% | +4.8% |
| Net MarginNet income ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +3.4% |
| FCF MarginFCF ÷ Revenue | +3.0% | +3.9% |
| Rev. Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +11.6% | +2.9% |
| EPS Growth (YoY)Latest quarter vs prior year | +15.2% | -24.7% |
Valuation Metrics
TGT leads this category, winning 6 of 6 comparable metrics.
Valuation Metrics
At 16.0x trailing earnings, TGT trades at a 69% valuation discount to COST's 52.0x P/E. On an enterprise value basis, TGT's 9.3x EV/EBITDA is more attractive than COST's 32.3x.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Market CapShares × price | $420.2B | $59.2B |
| Enterprise ValueMkt cap + debt − cash | $414.2B | $74.0B |
| Trailing P/EPrice ÷ TTM EPS | 52.03x | 16.03x |
| Forward P/EPrice ÷ next-FY EPS est. | 46.14x | 15.53x |
| PEG RatioP/E ÷ EPS growth rate | 3.45x | — |
| EV / EBITDAEnterprise value multiple | 32.34x | 9.27x |
| Price / SalesMarket cap ÷ Revenue | 1.53x | 0.56x |
| Price / BookPrice ÷ Book value/share | 14.45x | 3.67x |
| Price / FCFMarket cap ÷ FCF | 53.62x | 20.87x |
Profitability & Efficiency
COST leads this category, winning 9 of 9 comparable metrics.
Profitability & Efficiency
COST delivers a 28.3% return on equity — every $100 of shareholder capital generates $28 in annual profit, vs $23 for TGT. COST carries lower financial leverage with a 0.28x debt-to-equity ratio, signaling a more conservative balance sheet compared to TGT's 1.26x. On the Piotroski fundamental quality scale (0–9), COST scores 7/9 vs TGT's 6/9, reflecting strong financial health.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| ROE (TTM)Return on equity | +28.3% | +22.8% |
| ROA (TTM)Return on assets | +10.7% | +6.1% |
| ROICReturn on invested capital | +34.5% | +12.0% |
| ROCEReturn on capital employed | +27.9% | +12.9% |
| Piotroski ScoreFundamental quality 0–9 | 7 | 6 |
| Debt / EquityFinancial leverage | 0.28x | 1.26x |
| Net DebtTotal debt minus cash | -$6.0B | $14.8B |
| Cash & Equiv.Liquid assets | $14.2B | $5.5B |
| Total DebtShort + long-term debt | $8.2B | $20.3B |
| Interest CoverageEBIT ÷ Interest expense | 81.54x | 11.19x |
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
COST leads this category, winning 4 of 6 comparable metrics.
Total Returns (Dividends Reinvested)
A $10,000 investment in COST five years ago would be worth $24,312 today (with dividends reinvested), compared to $6,126 for TGT. Over the past 12 months, TGT leads with a +32.7% total return vs COST's -4.0%. The 3-year compound annual growth rate (CAGR) favors COST at 23.7% vs TGT's 4.8% — a key indicator of consistent wealth creation.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| YTD ReturnYear-to-date | +11.2% | +31.9% |
| 1-Year ReturnPast 12 months | -4.0% | +32.7% |
| 3-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +86.1% | +10.5% |
| 5-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +143.1% | -38.7% |
| 10-Year ReturnCumulative with dividends | +518.6% | +134.6% |
| CAGR (3Y)Annualised 3-year return | +23.7% | +4.8% |
Risk & Volatility
Evenly matched — COST and TGT each lead in 1 of 2 comparable metrics.
Risk & Volatility
COST is the less volatile stock with a -0.08 beta — it tends to amplify market swings less than TGT's 0.54 beta. A beta below 1.0 means the stock typically moves less than the S&P 500. TGT currently trades 91.2% from its 52-week high vs COST's 86.4% drawdown — a narrower gap to the peak suggests stronger recent price momentum.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Beta (5Y)Sensitivity to S&P 500 | -0.08x | 0.54x |
| 52-Week HighHighest price in past year | $1096.50 | $142.82 |
| 52-Week LowLowest price in past year | $846.80 | $83.44 |
| % of 52W HighCurrent price vs 52-week peak | +86.4% | +91.2% |
| RSI (14)Momentum oscillator 0–100 | 44.3 | 49.7 |
| Avg Volume (50D)Average daily shares traded | 2.0M | 4.2M |
Analyst Outlook
TGT leads this category, winning 2 of 2 comparable metrics.
Analyst Outlook
Wall Street rates COST as "Buy" and TGT as "Buy". Consensus price targets imply 17.2% upside for COST (target: $1111) vs 5.0% for TGT (target: $137). For income investors, TGT offers the higher dividend yield at 3.46% vs COST's 0.52%.
| Metric | ||
|---|---|---|
| Analyst RatingConsensus buy/hold/sell | Buy | Buy |
| Price TargetConsensus 12-month target | $1110.75 | $136.80 |
| # AnalystsCovering analysts | 58 | 60 |
| Dividend YieldAnnual dividend ÷ price | +0.5% | +3.5% |
| Dividend StreakConsecutive years of raises | 22 | 43 |
| Dividend / ShareAnnual DPS | $4.91 | $4.51 |
| Buyback YieldShare repurchases ÷ mkt cap | +0.2% | +0.7% |
TGT leads in 3 of 6 categories (Income & Cash Flow, Valuation Metrics). COST leads in 2 (Profitability & Efficiency, Total Returns). 1 tied.
Custom Comparison: COST vs TGT
Compare on any lens — Growth, Value, Income, or pick from 130+ individual metrics.
COST vs TGT: Frequently Asked Questions
10 questions · data-driven answers · updated daily
01Is COST or TGT a better buy right now?
For growth investors, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the stronger pick with 8.
2% revenue growth year-over-year, versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). Target Corporation (TGT) offers the better valuation at 16. 0x trailing P/E (15. 5x forward), making it the more compelling value choice. Analysts rate Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) a "Buy" — based on 58 analyst ratings — the highest consensus in this comparison. The "better buy" depends entirely on your goals: growth investors should weight revenue trajectory, value investors should weight P/E and PEG, and income investors should weight dividend yield and streak.
02Which has the better valuation — COST or TGT?
On trailing P/E, Target Corporation (TGT) is the cheapest at 16.
0x versus Costco Wholesale Corporation at 52. 0x. On forward P/E, Target Corporation is actually cheaper at 15. 5x.
03Which is the better long-term investment — COST or TGT?
Over the past 5 years, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) delivered a total return of +143.
1%, compared to -38. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). Over 10 years, the gap is even starker: COST returned +518. 6% versus TGT's +134. 6%. Past returns do not guarantee future results, and the stock with the higher historical return may already have its best growth priced in.
04Which is safer — COST or TGT?
By beta (market sensitivity over 5 years), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the lower-risk stock at -0.
08β versus Target Corporation's 0. 54β — meaning TGT is approximately -735% more volatile than COST relative to the S&P 500. On balance sheet safety, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) carries a lower debt/equity ratio of 28% versus 126% for Target Corporation — giving it more financial flexibility in a downturn.
05Which is growing faster — COST or TGT?
By revenue growth (latest reported year), Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is pulling ahead at 8.
2% versus -1. 7% for Target Corporation (TGT). On earnings-per-share growth, the picture is similar: Costco Wholesale Corporation grew EPS 10. 0% year-over-year, compared to -8. 2% for Target Corporation. Over a 3-year CAGR, COST leads at 6. 6% annualised revenue growth. Higher growth typically commands a higher valuation multiple — check whether the premium P/E or P/S is justified by the growth rate using the PEG ratio.
06Which has better profit margins — COST or TGT?
Target Corporation (TGT) is the more profitable company, earning 3.
5% net margin versus 2. 9% for Costco Wholesale Corporation — meaning it keeps 3. 5% of every revenue dollar as bottom-line profit. Operating margin tells a similar story: TGT leads at 4. 6% versus 3. 8% for COST. At the gross margin level — before operating expenses — TGT leads at 25. 4%, reflecting greater pricing power or product mix advantage. Stronger margins indicate durable pricing power, lower cost of revenue, or higher mix of software/services. They are one of the clearest signs of business quality.
07Is COST or TGT more undervalued right now?
On forward earnings alone, Target Corporation (TGT) trades at 15.
5x forward P/E versus 46. 1x for Costco Wholesale Corporation — 30. 6x cheaper on a one-year earnings basis. Analyst consensus price targets imply the most upside for COST: 17. 2% to $1110. 75.
08Which pays a better dividend — COST or TGT?
All stocks in this comparison pay dividends.
Target Corporation (TGT) offers the highest yield at 3. 5%, versus 0. 5% for Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST).
09Is COST or TGT better for a retirement portfolio?
For long-horizon retirement investors, Costco Wholesale Corporation (COST) is the stronger choice — it scores higher on the combination of lower volatility, dividend reliability, and long-term compounding (low volatility (β -0.
08), 0. 5% yield, +518. 6% 10Y return). Both have compounded well over 10 years (COST: +518. 6%, TGT: +134. 6%), confirming both are viable long-term holds — but the lower-volatility option typically results in less emotional selling during corrections. Retirement portfolios generally favour predictability over maximum returns. Consult a financial advisor before making allocation decisions.
10What are the main differences between COST and TGT?
Both stocks operate in the Consumer Defensive sector, making this a peer-level intra-sector comparison — the same macro tailwinds and headwinds will affect both.
In terms of investment character: COST is a large-cap quality compounder stock; TGT is a mid-cap deep-value stock. These fundamental differences mean investors should not choose between them on a single metric — the "better stock" depends entirely on which of these characteristics aligns with your investment strategy.
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